Is Everything Going to Hell or am I just Paranoid?

It has been almost three months since I started here at Dent Research. For several years, I’d been traveling a lot as an on-location photojournrnalist and writer. It was my dream job, but it proved exhausting. That thrill of the hunt out there for the story, the perfect shot at the right moment, talking to the right people, the occasional spot of “danger”… it was nothing if not interesting.

Robert Johnson Cairo Business Insider

This was about as tame as Tahrir Square became during my two weeks in Cairo in the spring of 2013. The Muslim Brotherhood had just razed the string of tents and shanty’s before setting flame to whatever they could – before watching it burnrn.

I thought I’d miss it, but I really don’t

At my new job I quickly learnrned that I work with some really, really smart people and they all bring to the table a largely unique take on markets and the economy. What they all have in common, from Adam to Rodney, is that like me, they love the hunt. The right story, the perfect trade at the right moment… talking to the right people.

It’s a blast and I learnrn something new almost every day.

When Peak Income hit inboxes on Thursday, I felt Charles’ calm, steady demeanor slip away as he enthusiastically outlined his reasoning for an energy buy two-thirds into his newsletter and it finally hit me. Our editors also love the thrill of chasing down a good lead and delivering it fresh to our readers.

Trading may not be like dodging mobs and bullets in Tahrir Square, but I’m OK with that. It has its own thrills. And my wife, Jessica, isn’t complaining either.

Not that I would have heard her above the groans and mad scrambling from the HRC newscycle last weekend, as Hillary’s team took another hit by scandal that just keeps on giving.

She accepted her party’s nomination after another 30,000 hacked emails, pulled from her private server, got a new lease on life via Wikileaks  Wikileaks and Julain Assange.

As the DNC went off beneath this fresh and fragrant cloud of fixed smiles and Pollyanna sound bites, all seemed about normal when, Lance began the week explaining how it just might be worth beating bonds at their own game and overcoming those pathetic yields.

The most extreme economic turnrning of the screw we can see at this point might be when central banks give up on the questionable benefits of quantitative easing and skip the intermediary by pumping fresh, hot currency straight into consumers’ pockets. Or, well, at least into their bank accounts.

Robert Johnson Detroit Hospital

Not that I ever needed to go as far as Africa to find trouble. This is from a once prominent, now abandoned, Detroit hospital. It wasn’t Cairo, but it didn’t feel all that much safer at 2 p.m. on a cold Thursday afternrnoon in January 2015.

That’s the danger: when the unthinkable becomes plausible… the new normal.

On Wednesday, the Hon. David Walker stepped in to explain our current Debt-to-GDP ratio is as much as 555%, when including unfunded obligations like pensions and healthcare. Terrifying and definitely worth a read.

On Thursday, Harry let us know that global corporate debt is on target to hit $75 trillion by 2020, an additional $24 trillion on top of to today’s record high $51 trillion. Not an ideal scenario considering that just over a week ago, the Wall Street Journrnal announced corporate profits sat poised to shrink for the fourth consecutive quarter.


And as another sweltering week ends here at Dent Research, Rodney closed the week off with some advice on municipal bonds:be careful.

The craziness Puerto Rico is trying to pull in their default play is not encouraging and debt everywhere continues to mounts to historic records with no end in sight.

As Rodney said: “No one wants to wake up owning bonds issued by the next Detroit or Puerto Rico.”

No kidding.