Why the Amazon Hate?

Note: I currently hold Amazon in one of my portfolios.

Antitrust laws are aimed at companies that charge below-market prices (predatory pricing) to drive out competition, and then raise prices later to recoup the losses while enjoying a monopoly.

Amazon doesn’t fit the bill.

From time to time, the company prices products below market rates as it enters a new area, but that’s typically not how it funds operations.

Instead, Amazon charges sellers a percentage to access its platform, and then uses company revenue to fund growth in other areas until it generates sufficient revenue.

Some of this growth has worked out fabulously well, like moving from books to a wide range of products and services and creating Amazon Web Services (AWS) for cloud computing. Some efforts, like Amazon’s Fire Phone, were less successful.

There’s no doubt that along the way consumers have benefited tremendously. We pay less for goods and services specifically because Amazon exists. The e-commerce giant not only allows us to see prices across sellers, it also allows us to skip the hassle of in-store shopping.

If you don’t need something immediately, why fight traffic going to the mall, only to get door-dings in your car and find that the size/color/model of the item you were after is out of stock?

I’m not saying Amazon is a company run by altruistic saints. Bezos and company are profit motivated, and can end up on the wrong side of competitive practices (see their negotiations with Hachette).

But at the core, all the constant talk about Amazon… isn’t about Amazon, it’s about moving from physical stores to the internrnet, and how that centralizes shopping.

Online shopping revolutionized how we approach consumption. The internrnet – not Amazon, but the internrnet itself – provided the platform that erased the premium attached to availability.

The web has erased the bottlenecks inherent in store shopping. This is fabulous for consumers because the cost of that premium is now assigned to where it should be – those shoppers that want something immediately.

If I need a cable for my computer, I can probably find it at Best Buy and be back home in less than two hours. It might cost me a few dollars more than buying online, but I can get it now. So I pay more. If I can wait, then I get it cheaper. It makes perfect sense.

As for taxes, we’re the scofflaws, not Amazon or any other online seller. Sales tax is not owed by sellers. It’s the responsibility of buyers. But I’ve never met anyone who voluntarily filled out a sales tax form for his state to declare the value of items bought online on which sales tax wasn’t charged.

The governrnment charges retailers with collecting the tax because it’s too hard to go after hundreds of millions of tax cheats every year.

Amazon now charges sales tax on every item it sells as a company in all states that charge a sales tax. The company does not do so for items sold on the platform by third-party retailers. It’s not Amazon’s job to do so.

There’s a lot of work to be done on this front.

Each state could develop a database that provides retailers the appropriate tax for any ZIP code within the state, and commit to updating the database every six months or some other schedule.

Retailers could then easily access the databases, charge the appropriate tax, and send it to the state to be distributed to local authorities such as transportation districts, improvement districts, counties, cities, etc.

Without such a database, the thousands of individual taxes that must be collected will remain the responsibility of the consumer, who isn’t stepping up to say that he owes the money.

And then there’s delivery. President Trump said recently that Amazon doesn’t pay enough to the U.S. Postal Service to deliver packages.

Is it Amazon’s fault if the delivery rate is set too low? Raise the rates.

Amazon obviously chose the USPS because it’s the cheapest. If it costs more than FedEx, I’m certain that Amazon will switch to FedEx… or build its own delivery service.

The USPS loses money on every delivery not because of the cost of getting a package from point A to point B, but because the service carries legacy pension costs that are underfunded. This is a story that plagues many governrnment entities around the country. (Yes, I know, the postal service is private… but only sort of).

As Amazon grows, consumers win, which kills the current antitrust conversation. That’s the end. Unless, of course, the law changes.

Lina Khan of Yale University recently outlined how antitrust laws could be amended to capture Amazon, notably by taking into account predatory pricing where losses are recaptured on unrelated products and considering vertical integration as a negative without considering prices.

The essential argument is that Amazon is too big, so let’s find a way to cut it down to size, or at least limit the company’s growth. If this point of view gains traction, you can be sure of one thing – you’ll pay more.

Instead of attacking the company for making the most of opportunities, we should instead try to bring our lagging institutions – such as state and local taxing authorities and the USPS – into the digital age.

Rodney Johnson

Follow me on Twitter @RJHSDent

Rodney Johnson

Rodney’s investment focus tends to be geared towards trends that have great disruptive potential but are only beginning to catch on to main-stream adapters. Trends that are likely to experience tipping points in the next 5 years. His work with Harry Dent – studying how people spend their money as they go through predictable stages of life and how that spending drives our economy – helps he and his subscribers to invest successfully in any market.